Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the third time this year due to falling rates and likewise lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending the company's share rate down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the cost of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has actually produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had predicted because the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.


"Renewable items' sales costs have been negatively impacted by a significant decline in (the) diesel cost during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not reduced and eco-friendly product market value premiums have actually remained weak," the company added.


Industry executives and experts have stated rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share price had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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